Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-02-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 49.4%

COL: 50.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.81

COL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	13	0.90
1	COL	19	1.37
2	NYR	11	0.59
2	COL	16	0.87
3	NYR	17	0.84
3	COL	9	0.50
4	NYR	1	0.17
4	COL	3	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0