Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 51.3%

CGY: 48.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.06

CGY: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.42
1	CGY	16	1	1.13
2	BOS	9	0	0.42
2	CGY	15	0	0.63
3	BOS	13	0	0.74
3	CGY	12	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.1 - 3.0