Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

BUF: 45.0%

DAL: 55.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.95

DAL: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs DAL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	BUF 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	BUF
2025-12-31	DAL 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	DAL
2024-12-31	DAL 4 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL
2024-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DAL	BUF	BUF
2024-04-09	DAL 3 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	20	0	1.29
1	DAL	13	1	0.83
2	BUF	20	0	1.23
2	DAL	9	1	0.94
3	BUF	19	1	1.50
3	DAL	25	3	2.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3