Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 52.0%

PHI: 48.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.49

PHI: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	1.12
1	PHI	8	0	0.51
2	FLA	11	0	0.49
2	PHI	25	0	1.49
3	FLA	16	1	1.07
3	PHI	12	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3