Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NJD: 67.1%

COL: 32.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

COL: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	1	0.86
1	COL	16	0	1.24
2	NJD	20	2	1.73
2	COL	12	0	0.65
3	NJD	8	1	0.94
3	COL	22	1	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8