Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

PIT: 56.0%

WPG: 44.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.30

WPG: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	PIT
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-02-10	WPG 2 - 1 PIT	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	17	0	0.94
1	WPG	11	1	0.86
2	PIT	12	3	1.46
2	WPG	17	1	1.11
3	PIT	9	0	0.30
3	WPG	11	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2