Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-02-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

VGK: 58.0%

EDM: 42.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.02

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	15	1	0.95
1	EDM	14	0	1.03
2	VGK	9	0	0.55
2	EDM	27	0	1.40
3	VGK	7	1	1.05
3	EDM	14	0	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0