Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-08 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 67.1%

WSH: 32.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.35

WSH: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	2	1.66
1	WSH	15	1	1.01
2	FLA	21	0	1.14
2	WSH	8	0	0.42
3	FLA	22	1	2.25
3	WSH	10	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3