Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-02-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.7%

CGY: 42.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.06

CGY: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	1	1.04
1	CGY	11	0	0.58
2	NJD	14	0	0.72
2	CGY	15	2	1.40
3	NJD	23	1	1.40
3	CGY	12	4	2.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8