Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-02-08 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

PHI: 53.4%

WPG: 46.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.37

WPG: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	WPG 1 - 7 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-16	PHI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-06	PHI 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-01	WPG 1 - 2 PHI	PHI	WPG
2024-02-08	PHI 4 - 1 WPG	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	2	1.14
1	WPG	7	1	0.41
2	PHI	3	1	0.38
2	WPG	26	1	1.93
3	PHI	7	0	0.59
3	WPG	16	1	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1