Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-02-09 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 45.8%

PIT: 54.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.95

PIT: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-21	PIT 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2025-10-30	MIN 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	MIN
2025-03-09	MIN 1 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-10-29	PIT 3 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2024-02-09	MIN 3 - 2 PIT	MIN	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.79
1	PIT	14	1	0.83
2	MIN	24	0	1.62
2	PIT	16	0	0.84
3	MIN	15	1	0.96
3	PIT	19	0	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2