St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 56.4%

STL: 43.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.01

STL: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	17	1	1.00
1	STL	12	2	1.20
2	BUF	18	1	1.69
2	STL	7	0	0.28
3	BUF	16	0	0.54
3	STL	18	2	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5