Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 35.8%

VAN: 64.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.86

VAN: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	1	0.80
1	VAN	12	0	0.64
2	DET	13	0	0.87
2	VAN	15	0	0.82
3	DET	11	0	0.53
3	VAN	17	1	1.19
4	DET	2	0	0.25
4	VAN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5