Dallas Stars at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MTL: 46.4%

DAL: 53.6%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.34

DAL: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	DAL 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	DAL
2025-11-13	MTL 0 - 7 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-01-16	DAL 1 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-01-11	MTL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-10	MTL 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	11	0	0.93
1	DAL	12	0	0.76
2	MTL	9	1	0.51
2	DAL	26	1	1.98
3	MTL	11	1	0.92
3	DAL	12	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4