Calgary Flames at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 50.2%

CGY: 49.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.98

CGY: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs CGY: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NYI 3 - 2 CGY	NYI	NYI
2026-01-17	CGY 4 - 2 NYI	CGY	CGY
2025-03-22	NYI 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NYI
2024-11-19	CGY 2 - 1 NYI	CGY	NYI
2024-02-10	NYI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.70
1	CGY	12	0	0.36
2	NYI	15	1	0.64
2	CGY	19	1	1.12
3	NYI	27	0	1.59
3	CGY	9	4	2.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3