Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 57.9%

WSH: 42.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.40

WSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs WSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	6	0	0.25
1	WSH	17	2	1.33
2	BOS	9	1	0.52
2	WSH	13	0	0.83
3	BOS	15	1	1.27
3	WSH	6	2	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1