Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

CBJ: 46.0%

TBL: 54.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.02

TBL: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	1	1.20
1	TBL	19	1	1.36
2	CBJ	19	1	1.51
2	TBL	13	0	0.77
3	CBJ	22	2	2.07
3	TBL	16	3	2.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6