St. Louis Blues at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-02-11 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 55.4%

STL: 44.6%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.01

STL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • MTL at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	STL 2 - 0 MTL	STL	MTL
2025-12-07	MTL 3 - 4 STL	STL	MTL
2025-03-25	STL 6 - 1 MTL	STL	STL
2024-10-26	MTL 5 - 2 STL	MTL	STL
2024-02-11	MTL 2 - 7 STL	STL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	2	0.89
1	STL	18	0	1.20
2	MTL	18	1	1.14
2	STL	13	0	1.01
3	MTL	16	0	1.08
3	STL	12	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0