Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-02-11 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 61.3%

VAN: 38.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.09

VAN: 3.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	0	0.71
1	VAN	14	0	0.95
2	WSH	21	1	1.34
2	VAN	12	1	0.72
3	WSH	11	0	0.43
3	VAN	11	0	0.75
4	WSH	7	0	0.40
4	VAN	3	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8