Calgary Flames at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-02-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

NYR: 56.8%

CGY: 43.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.21

CGY: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	NYR 4 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR
2025-10-26	CGY 5 - 1 NYR	CGY	CGY
2025-03-18	NYR 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	NYR
2024-11-21	CGY 3 - 2 NYR	CGY	CGY
2024-02-12	NYR 2 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	0	1.21
1	CGY	8	0	0.29
2	NYR	17	1	1.39
2	CGY	20	2	1.75
3	NYR	11	1	1.43
3	CGY	14	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0