Arizona Coyotes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-02-12 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

PHI: 63.9%

ARI: 36.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.85

ARI: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PHI at home vs ARI: 1-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-12	PHI 5 - 3 ARI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-07	ARI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	0	0.45
1	ARI	11	0	0.49
2	PHI	21	1	1.39
2	ARI	15	2	1.09
3	PHI	18	3	2.08
3	ARI	11	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8