Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-02-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 56.6%

MIN: 43.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.38

MIN: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	0	0.44
1	MIN	19	0	1.53
2	VGK	17	1	1.05
2	MIN	11	0	0.56
3	VGK	15	0	0.91
3	MIN	14	3	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8