Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-02-13 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WSH: 36.0%

COL: 64.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.79

COL: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs COL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	18	3	1.49
1	COL	11	0	0.75
2	WSH	10	1	0.67
2	COL	19	0	1.01
3	WSH	18	0	0.87
3	COL	17	2	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3