Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-02-13 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 45.6%

CAR: 54.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.06

CAR: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	12	0	0.99
1	CAR	16	0	0.49
2	DAL	10	0	0.63
2	CAR	30	0	1.41
3	DAL	8	2	1.40
3	CAR	17	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5