Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-02-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

EDM: 79.1%

DET: 20.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.85

DET: 1.81

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	0.70
1	DET	17	1	1.13
2	EDM	15	0	0.51
2	DET	20	2	1.85
3	EDM	17	2	1.60
3	DET	16	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.8 - 1.8