Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-02-14 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PIT: 45.0%

FLA: 55.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.08

FLA: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	9	0	0.36
1	FLA	9	0	0.38
2	PIT	13	1	1.27
2	FLA	14	0	1.30
3	PIT	18	1	1.47
3	FLA	11	2	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2