Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-02-15 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NYR: 64.0%

MTL: 36.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.85

MTL: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NYR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-13	NYR 5 - 4 MTL	NYR	NYR
2025-10-18	MTL 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	MTL
2025-01-19	MTL 5 - 4 NYR	MTL	MTL
2024-11-30	NYR 4 - 3 MTL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	0.51
1	MTL	11	1	0.70
2	NYR	18	0	1.25
2	MTL	13	1	0.95
3	NYR	8	0	0.63
3	MTL	20	0	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0