Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-02-15 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 66.3%

ANA: 33.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.81

ANA: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	0	0.44
1	ANA	9	0	0.44
2	OTT	15	2	1.14
2	ANA	9	1	0.79
3	OTT	26	0	1.55
3	ANA	12	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7