Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 37.8%
EDM: 62.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.80
EDM: 3.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-18 | EDM 5 - 0 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-03 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | EDM |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4 - 3 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-04 | STL 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 10 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 1 | EDM | 16 | 1 | 1.87 |
| 2 | STL | 24 | 0 | 2.05 |
| 2 | EDM | 15 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 3 | STL | 12 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 3 | EDM | 20 | 0 | 1.28 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.8
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