Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-02-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 58.5%

PIT: 41.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.38

PIT: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.52
1	PIT	15	1	1.01
2	CHI	11	0	0.86
2	PIT	11	1	1.16
3	CHI	12	0	0.50
3	PIT	12	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2