San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-02-15 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (78% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 77.9%

SJS: 22.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.33

SJS: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	18	1	1.19
1	SJS	10	0	0.27
2	CGY	20	1	1.41
2	SJS	15	2	1.05
3	CGY	22	0	1.43
3	SJS	15	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 77.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.3 - 3.2