Ottawa Senators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 33.5%

OTT: 66.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.45

OTT: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	OTT 6 - 4 CHI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-28	CHI 7 - 3 OTT	CHI	CHI
2025-04-15	OTT 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	OTT
2025-03-05	CHI 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-28	OTT 2 - 0 CHI	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	0	0.68
1	OTT	12	2	1.11
2	CHI	9	0	0.54
2	OTT	26	0	1.69
3	CHI	12	1	0.83
3	OTT	20	0	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.4 - 3.4