Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 0 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 58.5%

DET: 41.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.23

DET: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs DET: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DET 5 - 2 CGY	DET	DET
2025-12-10	CGY 3 - 4 DET	DET	CGY
2025-02-01	CGY 1 - 3 DET	DET	CGY
2024-11-27	DET 2 - 1 CGY	DET	DET
2024-02-17	CGY 0 - 5 DET	DET	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	0	0.69
1	DET	13	0	0.76
2	CGY	20	1	1.31
2	DET	10	1	0.76
3	CGY	21	1	1.63
3	DET	6	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 0 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0