Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-02-17 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 53.5%
LAK: 46.5%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.50
LAK: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs LAK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-21 | LAK 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | LAK |
| 2025-03-23 | LAK 7 - 2 BOS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-12 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-17 | BOS 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 9 | 2 | 1.00 |
| 1 | LAK | 25 | 1 | 0.96 |
| 2 | BOS | 15 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 2 | LAK | 8 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 3 | BOS | 15 | 3 | 1.51 |
| 3 | LAK | 16 | 2 | 1.61 |
| 4 | BOS | 4 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 4 | LAK | 1 | 0 | 0.17 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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