Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

MIN: 42.4%

BUF: 57.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.58

BUF: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	BUF 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	BUF
2025-11-29	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-03-22	MIN 4 - 1 BUF	MIN	BUF
2024-11-27	BUF 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	BUF
2024-02-17	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	1	1.34
1	BUF	16	1	1.08
2	MIN	18	0	0.79
2	BUF	7	0	0.37
3	MIN	13	1	0.77
3	BUF	15	1	1.26
4	MIN	1	0	0.10
4	BUF	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1