Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 9 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

TOR: 56.7%

ANA: 43.3%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.63

ANA: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	ANA
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	25	0	1.83
1	ANA	8	0	0.63
2	TOR	12	1	1.27
2	ANA	13	0	0.39
3	TOR	8	0	0.50
3	ANA	12	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 9 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3