Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • MetLife Stadium

New Jersey Devils 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 43.4%

PHI: 56.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.20

PHI: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	18	2	1.37
1	PHI	20	0	0.65
2	NJD	15	3	2.20
2	PHI	31	1	1.54
3	NJD	17	4	2.54
3	PHI	15	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3