Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 54.4%

WPG: 45.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.15

WPG: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	18	1	1.41
1	WPG	9	0	0.51
2	VAN	19	2	1.34
2	WPG	15	4	1.37
3	VAN	16	0	1.03
3	WPG	10	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7