Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-02-17 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 54.6%

CAR: 45.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.05

CAR: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	3	2.17
1	CAR	15	0	0.78
2	VGK	13	0	0.68
2	CAR	12	1	0.83
3	VGK	11	1	0.80
3	CAR	15	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7