New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-02-18 • MetLife Stadium

New York Islanders 5 - 6 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NYI: 42.4%

NYR: 57.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.93

NYR: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	22	1	1.27
1	NYR	7	0	0.13
2	NYI	21	0	1.08
2	NYR	24	1	1.33
3	NYI	12	1	1.19
3	NYR	20	0	1.44
4	NYI	0	0	0.00
4	NYR	2	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4