Arizona Coyotes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-02-18 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 64.8%
ARI: 35.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.73
ARI: 2.52
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs ARI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-18 | COL 4 - 3 ARI | COL | COL |
| 2023-12-27 | ARI 5 - 4 COL | ARI | COL |
| 2023-12-23 | COL 4 - 1 ARI | COL | COL |
| 2023-11-30 | ARI 4 - 3 COL | ARI | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 14 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 1 | ARI | 15 | 2 | 1.49 |
| 2 | COL | 27 | 0 | 2.05 |
| 2 | ARI | 6 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 3 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 3 | ARI | 17 | 0 | 0.96 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.7 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.