Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-02-18 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 57.7%

LAK: 42.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.00

LAK: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	0	1.03
1	LAK	16	1	0.91
2	PIT	11	0	0.42
2	LAK	22	0	0.92
3	PIT	15	0	0.66
3	LAK	17	2	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9