Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-02-19 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 61.5%

ANA: 38.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.90

ANA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	20	1	1.81
1	ANA	5	1	0.39
2	BUF	17	1	1.20
2	ANA	10	3	1.44
3	BUF	17	2	1.10
3	ANA	4	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1