Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-02-19 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 43.2%

DAL: 56.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.90

DAL: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	1	1.19
1	DAL	17	0	0.85
2	BOS	16	0	0.94
2	DAL	28	0	0.94
3	BOS	18	1	1.48
3	DAL	13	0	0.64
4	BOS	1	0	0.06
4	DAL	4	0	0.28
5	BOS	9	2	2.00
5	DAL	8	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4