Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-02-19 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

STL: 43.9%

TOR: 56.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.88

TOR: 4.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	STL 5 - 1 TOR	STL	STL
2025-11-18	TOR 3 - 2 STL	TOR	STL
2024-11-02	STL 4 - 2 TOR	STL	TOR
2024-10-24	TOR 1 - 5 STL	STL	TOR
2024-02-19	STL 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.52
1	TOR	9	0	0.33
2	STL	14	0	0.86
2	TOR	20	0	1.03
3	STL	12	0	0.59
3	TOR	10	3	1.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.9 - 4.4