Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-02-19 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 56.8%
DET: 43.2%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.35
DET: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs DET: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-12 | DET 6 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-19 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 21 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1 | DET | 11 | 1 | 0.62 |
| 2 | SEA | 18 | 2 | 1.19 |
| 2 | DET | 17 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 3 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | DET | 16 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 4 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 0.03 |
| 4 | DET | 2 | 0 | 0.24 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3
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