Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-02-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CGY: 52.2%

WPG: 47.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.28

WPG: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-15	CGY 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-10-24	WPG 5 - 3 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-10-20	CGY 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-01-26	WPG 5 - 2 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-01-18	WPG 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	20	1	1.34
1	WPG	17	1	1.71
2	CGY	17	1	1.15
2	WPG	12	0	0.69
3	CGY	12	1	1.55
3	WPG	12	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1