Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-02-19 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SJS: 28.1%

VGK: 71.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.53

VGK: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	SJS
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	1	1.11
1	VGK	20	1	1.71
2	SJS	18	1	1.20
2	VGK	12	1	0.83
3	SJS	7	0	0.30
3	VGK	10	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.5 - 3.6