Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-20 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

FLA: 62.9%

OTT: 37.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.01

OTT: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	1.24
1	OTT	18	0	0.87
2	FLA	14	0	0.95
2	OTT	13	0	0.86
3	FLA	17	2	1.21
3	OTT	11	1	1.01
4	FLA	2	0	0.13
4	OTT	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2