Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-02-20 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NYR: 59.1%

DAL: 40.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.12

DAL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DAL 2 - 0 NYR	DAL	DAL
2025-12-02	NYR 3 - 2 DAL	NYR	NYR
2025-01-07	NYR 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-20	DAL 1 - 3 NYR	NYR	DAL
2024-02-20	NYR 3 - 1 DAL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	1.02
1	DAL	13	1	0.97
2	NYR	19	0	1.38
2	DAL	17	1	1.23
3	NYR	6	1	0.86
3	DAL	21	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1